I remember back in the day watching Al Gore's 2006 film An Inconvenient Truth and being persuaded that there was great cause for alarm about humans' impact on the climate.
One graph in particular struck me as clearly demonstrating that human carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were a huge problem. It showed historical temperatures alongside atmospheric CO2 levels over the past 650,000 years. Here's a screenshot:

"When there is more carbon dioxide," Gore claimed, pointing to the graph, "the temperature gets warmer."
And I believed him. There it was, clear as day: CO2 levels obviously were driving temperature changes.
My conclusion that we should be alarmed by human emissions logically followed.
Or so I thought.
But then I watched another documentary challenging the narrative presented by Gore and other climate alarmists. I don't recall the name of the film, but the piece of information I remember being most struck by was the counterclaim that Gore had the causal relationship exactly backwards.
In fact, the documentary argued, the temperature changes preceded the CO2 changes in the record. It wasn't that CO2 levels were driving temperature changes but that temperature changes were driving CO2 levels.
The reason given for this is that the oceans essentially breathe CO2, absorbing more when it is colder and releasing more into the atmosphere when it gets warmer.
Having been presented with two opposing claims, I sought to verify for myself which was correct by searching the scientific literature. And I found that, indeed, Gore's claim was wrong.
In fact, it appeared to me from my own research into the question that it was uncontroversial that CO2 changes actually lagged corresponding temperature changes by a few hundred years.
I found this study published in Nature in June 1999, for example, that confirmed for me that the counterclaim was correct. (The PDF file is available here.) Or take this study published in Science in March 2003 also confirming that Gore had it backwards.
To demonstrate just how uncontroversial it is that the CO2 changes lagged the temperature changes, see this 2007 New Scientist article titled "Climate myths: Ice cores show CO2 increases lag behind temperature rises, disproving the link to global warming".
You might think from that headline that the article challenges the claim that CO2 increases lag behind temperature increases, but, on the contrary, it cites that Science paper and confirms that this is so. It instead argues that this doesn't mean that higher levels of atmospheric CO2 do not in turn contribute to warmer temperatures.
Regarding the idea that rising CO2 levels were the driving force of temperature increases, the article argues that "no climate scientist has ever made this claim."
But that just makes me wonder why I never saw all these climate scientists who knew better excoriating Al Gore for making exactly that false claim in his famous film. Instead, all I ever heard was how Gore's film was right in line with this "consensus" I kept hearing about.
Moreover, the New Scientist article also appeared to me to be arguing against a strawman of its own creation. I had never seen anyone argue that the lag proved that CO2 levels had no effect on temperatures, only that it showed that the claim that CO2 levels were driving temperatures was false.
When I would come across those types of arguments attempting to sustain the mainstream narrative that we should be very alarmed about humans' impact on the climate, it only served to heighten my skepticism about what we are told.
A key question news consumers should always ask themselves with everything read or watched is whether the information serves a political agenda.
And in the case of information we get about climate change, the answer to that question is obviously "Yes." The political agenda is no secret: governments seek ever greater powers to control us.
You might say that the the true historical relationship between CO2 levels and temperatures is an inconvenient truth for people like Gore pushing that political agenda. He should have said, "When temperatures get warmer, there is more carbon dioxide." But that obviously wouldn't have served the agenda.
After becoming a father in 2012, I began diving deeply into the medical literature on vaccines, a topic I have written much about. It became absolutely clear to me that what we are told science says about vaccines and what science actually tells us are two completely different things.
Another thing that became clear to me was how the process of scientific inquiry was being totally corrupted by government and pharmaceutical industry funding.
The same appears to me to be true about climate science, as well.
I have not researched this topic anywhere near as deeply as I have with the topic of vaccines or, in the past few years, the COVID-19 lockdown madness and its coerced mass vaccination endgame.
But I know enough to be skeptical, and contrary to what we are told, skepticism is not unreasonable. On the contrary, it is at the very heart of scientific inquiry.
So what about you? Have you had any experiences like mine where you discovered that you had been deceived in a way that led you to a fallacious conclusion, one way or the other, about the effect of CO2 and human activities on the climate?
Let me know in the comments below!



Thank you for this post. As you stated toward the end, I am also led to believe that so much of government “science” is corrupted for political purposes. The Climate change narrative is one area I have started to dig a little more and found that things are not as they are being presented. BUT it is a huge money maker! I live on the CA Central Coast and our small coastal town is being targeted for industrialization for Offshore wind and battery storage – all in the name of the climate crisis. We are talking about billions of dollars being spent for new “net-zero” energy sources, but that is all showing itself to be a myth. So anyway, thank you and I look forward to reading more of your research on this topic!
Thanks for sharing your thoughts, Nicole.
Great starting point into an inquiry about “climate change” I too only started looking at climate change after realising the false story behind vaccines. There is a movie just released that gives a good overview about some of the claims of climate change.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55n-Zdv_Bwc
This website is also a great resource https://judithcurry.com/
Andrew, I also saw that movie, and it was the impetus for me to share the above story about how I was deceived by Al Gore, my purpose being to provide that background for a follow-post I will publish soon providing an overview and discussion of the film.
Jeremy – Great article, important if inconvenient truth. We have to also ask, from whence cometh the plan to control both government and medicine and propagandize us on so many other issues? Take a read through the Toronto Protocols here free pdf online and also my you tube titled Covid and the Corruption of Medicine and Economics
Hi Alanna. Thanks for your comment. You are welcome to share the links to the PDF and your YouTube video. (Sharing links might cause a post to await moderation due to anti-spam settings, but I will approve it if necessary!)
Please approve. I want those links.
For several decades I believed, without questioning, Lee Harvey Oswald murdered JFK.
For several decades I also believed that Sirhan Sirhan murdered RFK.
For a couple months I believed 9/11 was orchestrated by Al-Qaeda.
Funny how the covid measures apparently was the unveiling starting point for so many of us. I guess that it was the size and the direct impact on my life that made me ponder. That and a long lasting distrust in the medicine industry. Thanks for your voice, Jeremy, one of many pleasant covid side effects?
Appreciated! For the record, though, I was speaking out against so-called “public health” policies well prior to the Covid madness, and I was already awakened when that insanity began so as to be speaking out against the lockdowns (and their coerced mass vaccination endgame) from the very start!
Suggestion. Start a “pants on fire” post. I submit this knight as candidate 2.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IatVKZZcPG0 . . . forgot the link.
I happen to have watched that Netflix documentary with my family. Horrifying to see those walruses falling, but this sheds some light on the situation. Thanks.
One of the most obvious ones is the 97% consensus scam. I wrote about it in very simple terms in this little piece:
https://rome2ruins.substack.com/p/the-consensus-on-man-made-climate
Thanks for sharing!
Jeremy:
I recommend James Hansen’s book “Storms of My Grandchildren”, if you haven’t already read it. It was written in 2009. He does talk about the issue of temperature changes leading the carbon dioxide change over the past 425,000 years. Here is what he says:
“Close examination shows that temperature changes precede the carbon dioxide change by several hundred years. Carbon dioxide change in response to climate change is an important feedback process that affects climate sensitivity, as I will discuss momentarily. But note here that the sequence (carbon dioxide change following temperature change) and the delay (several hundred years) are as expected for these natural climate changes. The length of the delay of the carbon dioxide response to temperature change is due to the ocean turnover time, which is several centuries.” (page 38)
In the distant past, humans were not dumping massive amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. So if there were no other changes, the carbon dioxide level would not have increased large amounts (on its own) . The past temperature changes leading to periodic ice ages have been shown to be related to the Milankovitch cycles. These are things such as the change in ellipticity of the Earth’s orbit, and change in the tilt of the North pole relative to the Earth’s orbital plane.
The fact that carbon dioxide increases when temperature increases is known as a positive (or amplifying) feedback. When temperature increases, carbon dioxide increases — with the process you mentioned, that the ocean absorbs less carbon dioxide when it is warm. But then, the released carbon dioxide further increases the temperature because carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas. This is how the amplifying feedback happens.
The plot at this link shows how carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas. Notice the big “hole” in the emission spectra from the Earth as seen from space.
https://seos-project.eu/earthspectra/earthspectra-c02-p17.html
I forget if Hanson’s book was written before or after the two studies cited by Jeremy.
Is Hanson’s explanation a response to the two studies?
Hansen agrees that over the last 425,000 years, the “temperature changes precede the carbon dioxide change by a few hundred years.” Hansen’s book was written in 2009.
Thanks for the citation from the book, which further reinforces my point about how uncontroversial it is that Al Gore lied.
It seems the more important question is the seriousness of global warming. You seem unconvinced that carbon dioxide causes warming. That’s a pretty big disconnect from known physics.
Mark, you seem not to have actually read what I wrote, so I encourage you to take the time to actually do so and to understand what I am saying.
I’ve recently enrolled in the foundational courses through The Soil Food Web, developed by Elaine Ingham. I’m learning about how to make good soil and how to regenerate soils that have been damaged by current Industrial farming practices. Through my readings I’ve been introduced to Walter Jenke from Australia. He has excellent videos on Youtube that help shed light in a completely different line than what we are being fed. Solutions for a blue planet is a good place to start. Thank you for continuing to shine a big light on the many false narratives we are being constantly fed.
Exposing propaganda is what I do. ?
I love the increasing interest in regenerative agricultural practices. My little family hopes to someday own property where we can grow enough of our own food to be at least somewhat self-sufficient.
wow .. good science Jeremy! and I didn’t know. Can we conclude that Gore was (is) full of hot air?? Sorry to say: it is a lot easier to misuse science to misdirect than undo the fears, compliance, empowerment of false prophets (and minion like behaviors) and avoid unnecessary government help? I.E., there will be no relief in future misprognosticators .. truthful ways always take longer. good on ya and your research.
He is full of hot air, yes! ?
Edwin,
I liked your mention of “hot air” and one of my favorite response to people worried about CO2 is that we could really reduce the CO2 level politicians stopped breathing.
?
Did find anyone challenging the two studies you cite or offering different interpretations? IF so you MUST include such rebuttals in your article. Surely the climate scientists must have responded to the conclusions in the two studies. The conclusion you cite COMPLETELY destroys the climate change scenario. At least one book has been written responding to climate deniers. This is not meant to dispute your conclusion. But there is always another side to the argument. I’s an argument that must be settled.
Do you think I was deliberately lying to you when I wrote that it appears to me to be completely uncontroversial in the scientific community that the CO2 changes lag the temp changes by a few hundred years?
Far be it from me to commit precisely the journalistic sin I am always criticizing the mainstream media for.
Also please see Mark Busch’s comment above from April 5, where he quotes none other than Michael Mann confirming the point.
I reread the New Science article. I think Jeremy has interpreted it wrong. Temperature increases caused by the Malinkovich cycles are the cause of initial rises in c02. But the increase in c02 creates a greenhouse effect which creates a feedback loop that increases temperature. Increasing c02 by human means increases the feedback loop and increases temperature.
The article clearly states “The lag proves that rising CO2 did not cause the initial warming as past ice ages ended, but it does not in any way contradict the idea that higher CO2 levels cause warming.”
It’s my view that this fundamental question must be settle once and for all.
How so? You say this, but then the rest of your comment accords perfectly with what I wrote. It seems that perhaps you rather interpreted me wrong. I stand by my interpretation of the study.
I taught chemistry at university level for several years and every semester I was required to do a section on first the destruction of the ozone layer, which morphed to global warming and eventually morphed to “climate change.” I was working my way through school and held a full time job in IT at a huge engineering company. The engineers often asked about school and I asked them what they thought about ozone/warming/climate change and they all said, “the climate is ALWAYS changing.” 100% skepticism. As the definition of the climate problem kept changing I really doubted its veracity and felt no need to worry.
Thanks for your simple and enlightening article.
My pleasure!
If you Jeremy accept that human-driven CO2 rise does enhance global warming (even though it is not the primary or initial reason for the rise), what does this mean for the appropriateness of taking (any) human measures to counteract the problem?
The answer to that question depends on what human measures are taken to counteract the problem. Such measures could do great good or cause great harm, depending on what they are. I think we ought to take good actions and not bad ones, and to move even closer to a system of global tyranny to combat the problem would be a very bad course of action.
Check out Walter Jehnes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQN9t-g2J-0&list=PL783y67Ke14GkHvCdeWXexDtrKxc2DW4x&index=7